First of all welcome to our brand new IndianaWeatherOnline.com Discussion Blog. Yes, we have upgraded our Discussion page to the 21st Century and have converted the format to a blog joining the rest of the world!
Now on to the weather! It appears that a very cold and wintry pattern is taking hold of the Ohio Valley and Midwest, especially for the next two to four weeks.
La Nina continues to stengthen and thus I expect a strong trough to develop across the Central and Eastern United States. The tough will keep the Ohio Valley and the Midwest locked in a winter pattern with Arctic air intruding Southward from Canada. This combined with a split-flow developing (two jet streams) will put the Ohio Valley and Midwest in a favorable area for winter storms.
The first storm we will be watching is a storm system that is currently developing across the West Coast. The low pressure system we are tracking hasn’t quite made it to the West Coast yet, but will later this evening and will move Southeast towards the Central Rockies. The storm will likely weaken some and get slowed down some as it crosses the Rocky Mountains as Mountains tend to do that to storms, but will redevelop across Southern Kansas by midday on Sunday. The storm will then move East towards the Ohio Valley and I expect it to track into far Northern Kentucky and then into Central Ohio. This would put the Northern Half of Indiana and the Northwestern half of Ohio in a favorable area for heavy snowfall.

The latest 18Z NAM (North American Forecast Model) shows the low pressure farther North diving Southeast from Iowa into Central Indiana and then into Ohio. This forecast track would bring our area rain at the beginning of the storm before the rain changes to snow and several inches of snow would be posible. I don’t agree with this storm track though for several reasons. First the Baroclinic Zone (a region in which a temperature gradient exists on a surface of constant pressure; not barotropic. Baroclinic zones are favored areas for strengthening and weakening weather systems.) will be much farther South than with previous storms. Also a large and strong area of high pressure will be sitting over the Northern Plains and Western Great Lakes and this will force the low pressure farther South.

The storm will likely continue into the day on Tuesday with snow falling, especially across the Northern half of Indiana and all of Western Ohio and it will likely become very windy as the storm strengthens and moves into Ohio before a new low pressure develops off the New England coast.
Behind the storm on Tuesday, Arctic air will rush into the region. Temperatures will be well below normal through the end of the week. To go along with this Arctic air, a strong clipper will dive Southeast out of Canada into the Ohio Valley on Thursday and looks to bring another solid accumulating snowfall to the area.
I hope you have enjoyed our new blog/forecast discussion and enjoy the new format. Also with the new format comes new features, and this means that all of you can now leave comments and questions with each blog entry! So if you have a question, feel free to post it and we will try to answer it to the best of our ability.
For now stay tuned, stay safe and enjoy your weekend!
Brandon Redmond
www.IndianaWeatherOnline.com
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