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A fairly significant severe weather outbreak is expected to unfold across parts of the Ohio Valley later this afternoon and into this evening. Severe Thunderstorms are currently on-going across parts of Illinois and Iowa.

The Storm Prediction Center has placed the entire area under a moderate risk for severe weather. I also agree with that forecast, and belive that a fairly significant severe weather episode appears likely.

The line of severe storms that is currently in Northern Illinois and Iowa will continue to move to East and could affect portions of Northwestern Indiana later today.

Meanwhile, more storms will develop farther South and West across portions of Eastern Missouri, Illinois and into Western Indiana. Upon initial development of the storms, some tornadoes will be possible before the storms become congealed into a squall line. The main threat for tornadoes will exist West of Indianapolis.

As the storms become and form into a squall line, they will rapidly race Eastward across Indiana and into Ohio producing widespread damaging winds, isolated large hail and a tornado or two.

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As we head into next week, a ridge will develop to our West ushering in warmer weather across the Ohio Valley, but also setting the stage for thunderstorms across the area.

First of all though, we have to make it through this weekend which will feature cloudy skies, scattered rain showers and cooler than normal temperatures.

By Monday, warm front number one will slide Northeast across the Ohio Valley and will bring gusty winds, warmer air and some scattered after rain and thunderstorms.

By later this in the week, warm and moist air will return to the area and we will likely see the warmest temperatures of the year, with highs climbing into the 80's across a large portion of the area.

Unfortunately, this warm and moist air will set the stage for what could be a very stormy Memorial Day Weekend!

Stay tuned! 

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A Major Severe Weather Outbreak is in the process of developing, which will ultimately affect a very large part of the United States. The Storm Prediction Center has outlined areas from Southwestern Indiana through Illinois, Kentucky, Arkansas and points farther South under a Moderate Risk for severe weather with a slight risk surroudning those areas. Violent tornadoes and extreme damaging winds will be likely from portions of Arkansas through the Lower Ohio Valley and into the South and Southeast.

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While severe weather was more sporadic across the Ohio Valley on Friday, tornadoes and severe weather ripped through the Mid-South. Particularly hit hard was the town of Earle, Arkansas, where the NWS has preliminarily rated the tornado that struck that town as an EF-3.

From Earle, Arkansas:

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While some severe weather occurred on Friday, the storm was yet another under-performing event. These storms are just as awful to forecast as the ones this previous winter with last minute surface track discrepancies, under-performing moisture and insufficient instability.

Anyways, Friday did produce some severe hail across Southwestern and Western Indiana and we even saw a few tornado warnings near Gary.

As far as the rest of the weekend goes, we will see lingering showers and thunderstorms this morning and into the early afternoon hours, and those could affect the running of the Kentucky Derby.

Sunday will dry out but will also be cooler as the cold front sweeps through the area and causes winds to shift to the Northwest.

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